Climate Futures for Tasmania reports

A series of reports will be published by the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre's Climate Futures for Tasmania project. These reports will examine the following:

• General climate impacts
• Climate modelling
• Impacts on agriculture
• Water and catchments
• Extreme events
• Extreme tide and sea-level events

Fact sheet on the Projected climate change impacts for Tasmania.

General Climate Impacts Technical Report

In October 2010, the Climate Futures for Tasmania: general climate impacts technical report was released. The report sets out the projected changes to Tasmania's climate during this century, including higher temperatures and changes in rainfall patterns.

Download a summary of the report (PDF, 4MB)

Download the full report (PDF, 17MB)

Climate Modelling Technical Report

The Climate Futures for Tasmania: climate modelling technical report sets out in more detail the performance of the model simulations in reproducing the Tasmanian climate and assesses the likelihood that the simulations accurately project future climate change for Tasmania.

Download a summary report (PDF, 4MB)

Download the full report (PDF, 30MB)

Impacts on Agriculture Technical Report

In March 2011, the Climate Futures for Tasmania: impacts on agriculture technical report was released. The report sets out the impacts on Tasmanian agriculture from projected climate change. The report examines the key climate indices of frost, drought, chilling and growing degree-days, and focuses on the key agricultural sectors of perennial horticulture, pasture production, grain crops, wine and issues around bio-security.

Download a summary of the report (PDF, 9MB)

Download the full report (PDF, 13MB)

Find out more about how the Tasmanian Government is helping farmers adapt to climate change (PDF, 248KB)

Water and Catchments Technical Report

In March 2011, the Climate Futures for Tasmania: water and catchments technical report was released. The report sets out projected river flows, to 2100, for more than 1900 subcatchments in 78 river catchments that cover more than 70 per cent of the State by area.  The future operations of Tasmania's hydro-electric system and 14 major irrigation storages were also simulated to 2100.

Download a summary of the report (PDF, 2MB)

Download the full report (PDF, 6MB)

Extreme Events Technical Report

In October 2011, the Climate Futures for Tasmania: extreme events technical report was released.

The technical report examines extreme rainfall, temperature and drought events in the Tasmanian context to determine how climate change might alter the characteristics of these events in the 21st century.

The summary report also includes information on coastal vulnerabilities, wind hazard and impacts on infrastructure.

Download a summary of the report (PDF, 5.2MB)

Download the full report (PDF, 7.5MB)

Extreme Tide and Sea-Level Events Technical Report

In September 2011, the Climate Futures for Tasmania: extreme tide and sea-level events technical report was released.

This report describes the development of spatial maps that provide a basis for the investigation of the possible impacts of future climate change due to sea level rise and changes in weather conditions, and will provide information for subsequent coastal assessments around Tasmania.

Download the full report (PDF, 2.5MB)

Severe Wind Hazard and Risk Technical Report

In 2012, the Severe Wind Hazard and Risk Technical Report was released by Geoscience Australia, as a partner within the Climate Futures for Tasmania project.

The technical report investigates the severe wind hazard and risk to residential buildings in the Tasmanian region, both under current climate and also for two 21st century climate change scenarios.

The report examines trends in severe wind hazard and risk in the Tasmanian region, and has laid the foundation for the exploration of whether the community and government believe the risk is acceptable or if adaptation strategies are required.

Download the full report (PDF, 6.2MB)